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Posted on: April 1, 2020

Governor Hutchinson Talks Projections

Seal for the State of Arkansas

Governor Hutchinson spoke about modeling and projections of COVID-19 cases during his /3/31/2020 press conference. There’s some good news for Arkansas. "Let’s follow the guidelines from the CDC and Dr. Smith and the Arkansas Health Department and if we’re successful at doing that we’re going to beat what those projections are, and that’s our objective because that saves lives. That gets us out of this crisis much quicker, it gets back to normality in a quicker fashion", Governor Hutchinson said.
You can see the discussion at 6:30 in the video or read the transcription below.

On the blue line (line representing the projected numbers) it shows that toward the end of mid-April, April 10, we’ll be at 3500 cases here in Arkansas of COVID-19. So I wanted to track where we are on the red line (line representing real numbers) in reality.

So as you can see here, that we have actually lowered that trend line so that we are under it, the blue line where we were projected to be at 500 earlier than that, we are now at 500, but we were projected to be up close to 1000. So this is good news for us when you see, and the public needs to understand, that the red lines means we are having success in our social distancing. We are having success following the guidelines that have been set of limitations on gatherings and if we can continue to do that then the blue line goes up the red line we hope to stay underneath that blue line.

And this is a very conservative estimate as most people know in terms of our ultimate number of cases here in Arkansas. And this projection only goes to mid-April and we will try to extend this as we have more real time information so we can project out further.

But it gives the Arkansan an objective almost: let’s do our part, let’s be self- disciplined, let’s follow the guidelines from the CDC and Dr. Smith and the Arkansas Health Department and if we’re successful at doing that we’re going to beat what those projections are., and that’s our objective because that saves lives. That get us out of this crisis much quicker, it gets back to normality in a quicker fashion. So that is the objective.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqjcZQwx8aQ

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